What Could be the Possible Effects of US Attack on General Qassem?

Us attack on General Qassem
FILE PHOTO: Combination photo of Iranian Revolutionary Guard Commander Qassem Soleimani (L) and Abu ...

The US attack on General Qassem in Iraq was not too unexpected, as the US had been watching with concern the Iranian operations in the region.

Every disorder in the middle east was associated with the person of Qassem Soleimani. The slain general was leading the Quds Force, which is part of the Revolutionary Guards of Iran. The US had already declared it a terrorist organization.

The Iranian offensive operations in the middle east were led by the animated and energetic leadership of General Qassim. He had reportedly trained and given armed assistance to the Hezbollah in Lebanon, militias in Iraq, Houthis of Yemen. It was he who had been holding the pillars of the Assad regime since 2011.

General Qassem also aided the Iraqi government to contain the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) and played a decisive role in defeating the terror group in Iraq.

The US had attempted several times on the life of the general before. However, the attempts were intensified following the attack by the Iranian-backed groups on the US consulate in Iraq. The US suspected Qassem was behind this attack.

Yet, the US Attack on General Qassem has led to a frenzy and in the region. Since there are several countries involved in the issue, it renders a threat to international peace on a broader level.

Related: General Qassem Killed in the US attack in Iraq

The US justified its act of killing the general, but the assassinations of generals are scarce guarantees to ensure peace or prevent wars. This action might not be as significant or worth-boasting for the US. But it might be a do-or-die for Iran.

Since Iran is grappled with internal crisis and it is, in a way, forced to retaliate to preempt the unraveling of the internal disorder. Then, there are enormous public pressures in Iran to take revenge for the general’s killing.

What are the Options for the US and Iran?

Both the US and Iran have short-term and long-term options to choose from, but they will have to calculate the consequences of each step.

President Trump will have to bear the consequences in the presidential election if the confrontation prolongs or remains fruitless.

For Iran, the first reaction it could draw by recklessly attacking the US facilities in the region or its soldiers.

Iran also has relations with the Taliban as the Islamic Republic provided arms to the Taliban in 2007. These relations could be renewed to revive attacks in Afghanistan against the US. This strategy could prove most beneficial for Iran as It would cause more damage without a direct confrontation with the US.

Iran could always hamper the free flow of oil trade in the Gulf. Five states of the middle east provide roughly 30% of the global oil production. The blockage of this proportion could lead to a worldwide crisis and could weaken the global economy.

Yet, it is a general perception that this will not lead to a major crisis or an all-out war. President Trump extended a peaceful gesture following the attack that expressed a willingness to talk with Iran.

Russia and China have also suggested restraint. Otherwise, if they had jumped into this crisis, the situation could have been worse.

So, the impression is that there would be no war, although skirmishes would continue on both sides.

About Staff Writer

My focus is on politics, history, religion, and philosophy of life. I present news analysis and opinion on current affairs and occasionally produce satire articles

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